Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.035532 0.038693 0.041873 0.045307 0.048904 0.052553 0.056531
2025-11-30 0.031114 0.035850 0.040768 0.046233 0.052113 0.058229 0.065048
2025-12-07 0.027524 0.033395 0.039665 0.046807 0.054666 0.063002 0.072466
2025-12-14 0.024361 0.031041 0.038367 0.046899 0.056472 0.066799 0.078699
2025-12-21 0.022413 0.029824 0.038138 0.048007 0.059258 0.071560 0.085903
2025-12-28 0.019687 0.027467 0.036412 0.047238 0.059784 0.073688 0.090087
2026-01-04 0.017889 0.026051 0.035641 0.047447 0.061319 0.076865 0.095374
2026-01-11 0.016573 0.025106 0.035333 0.048114 0.063313 0.080509 0.101146
2026-01-18 0.015384 0.024224 0.035023 0.048711 0.065170 0.083955 0.106661
2026-01-25 0.013272 0.022008 0.032950 0.047074 0.064297 0.084167 0.108396
2026-02-01 0.011889 0.020650 0.031867 0.046572 0.064714 0.085832 0.111769
2026-02-08 0.010748 0.019534 0.031027 0.046312 0.065376 0.087749 0.115404
2026-02-15 0.010298 0.019374 0.031435 0.047650 0.068032 0.092090 0.121965
2026-02-22 0.009770 0.019067 0.031629 0.048703 0.070337 0.096022 0.128064
2026-03-01 0.009133 0.018554 0.031516 0.049342 0.072115 0.099318 0.133414
2026-03-08 0.008366 0.017793 0.031026 0.049458 0.073220 0.101788 0.137774
2026-03-15 0.008007 0.017628 0.031337 0.050612 0.075621 0.105828 0.144014
2026-03-22 0.007062 0.016471 0.030212 0.049823 0.075531 0.106809 0.146569
2026-03-29 0.006499 0.015884 0.029861 0.050041 0.076704 0.109322 0.150959
2026-04-05 0.006116 0.015564 0.029871 0.050731 0.078470 0.112559 0.156220
2026-04-12 0.005740 0.015227 0.029838 0.051347 0.080133 0.115664 0.161322
2026-04-19 0.004805 0.013824 0.028165 0.049658 0.078759 0.114967 0.161770
2026-04-26 0.004239 0.013027 0.027360 0.049140 0.078890 0.116126 0.164469